Design Philosophy

These case studies aim to illuminate how Polymarket disputes unfold in practice. They are structured to follow events as they actually happened, rather than starting from the outcome and reasoning backward. This approach shows how information emerges over time and how decisions are shaped by context, uncertainty, and the process itself.

Each case is a self-contained opportunity to practice critical thinking. I guide you through the timeline of events, the perspectives that emerged, and the arguments presented on all sides. Along the way, I demonstrate how to evaluate evidence, compare competing claims, and perform effective due diligence. Some cases lead to clear resolutions; others remain open-ended. The goal is not to declare right or wrong, but to develop sound reasoning and a deeper understanding of how the oracle works in real-time.

The cases are designed to be inclusive and accessible. They avoid jargon, explain relevant concepts, and clearly distinguish what is known, assumed, or still in question. References to precedent are included when helpful, but no past decision is treated as definitive. The aim is to show how judgment develops case by case.

Ultimately, the purpose is to represent different perspectives fairly and to make the process of reasoning visible. Strong arguments, even if ultimately incorrect, are acknowledged. Weak reasoning, even when it reaches the correct result, is examined critically. These case studies are meant to support learning that is open-ended, thoughtful, and grounded in evidence, and to help you become a more effective and informed participant in the oracle process.