Wide Consensus

Some markets require a wide or overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. This language is often used in markets involving war, ceasefires, or international diplomacy, where facts emerge slowly and may be disputed.

In markets covering sensitive agreements such as U.S.–China trade deals, a wide consensus may include official statements or releases from both governments. Resolution may depend on communications from both sides, especially when media coverage differs across regions.

However, even official sources may be unreliable and require corroboration. For example, statements from figures like Donald Trump have previously been treated as insufficient without confirmation from credible reporting or formal documentation.