Polymarket Created a New Market

Perhaps the strongest evidence against a qualifying deployment was Polymarket's own actions.

Shortly after "Yes" shares crashed, Polymarket created the same market with an August 31 deadline.

The August 31 market opened at 61¢ and quickly rose above 90¢ after confirmation of an upcoming deployment later in the week.

Several users argued that by creating another market, Polymarket signaled there had been no qualifying deployment at the time.

At the time of the first dispute Polymarket also did not provide clarification, despite usually stepping in soon after disputes.

Summary

Polymarket's decision to create a new market with an August 31 deadline was seen by many as evidence that no qualifying deployment had yet occurred, and traders reflected this view through market prices. The lack of clarification during the first dispute further reinforced this conclusion.

Coming Up

Having heard the arguments from both sides, we now take a moment to summarize the key points before moving forward.