Polymarket Clarification

During the discussions, Polymarket issued two clarifications.

The Initial Clarification

Two hours after the market was launched, Polymarket clarified that both D.C. and out-of-state National Guard deployments into Washington would qualify, regardless of whether the troops engaged in public-facing operations.

This was in response to confusion over the rules, which stated "deploys any National Guard troops into Washington, D.C." and "only the actual deployment will qualify."

At the time of the clarification, "Yes" shares traded around 35¢.

The Second Clarification

After the market deadline passed, someone submitted a proposal for "No."

Fifteen minutes later, Polymarket issued a second clarification, stating that Trump's memo qualified as active deployment.

The order book was cleared, and the price of "Yes" surged from 25¢ to 99¢.

Summary

Polymarket issued two clarifications: the first shortly after the market was created, and the second after the deadline had passed and a proposal was submitted.

Coming Up

Before examining how users responded to the clarifications, we must first learn about dead-on-arrival markets.