> For the complete documentation index, see [llms.txt](https://polymarketguide.gitbook.io/polymarketguide/llms.txt). Markdown versions of documentation pages are available by appending `.md` to page URLs; this page is available as [Markdown](https://polymarketguide.gitbook.io/polymarketguide/rules/clarifications/effects.md).

# Clarification Effects

Clarifications have several effects on trading and resolution.

### Effect on Orderbook

When Polymarket issues a clarification, the **orderbook is cleared and all resting orders are cancelled**. If a possible clarification is announced in advance, Polymarket may specify a later time when the orderbook will be cleared.

*Example*: In *Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?*, Polymarket announced that a possible clarification would be issued at 3:00 PM ET and that the orderbook would be cleared at that time regardless of whether a clarification was ultimately made.

<figure><img src="https://3511841878-files.gitbook.io/~/files/v0/b/gitbook-x-prod.appspot.com/o/spaces%2FwmHFi7NV8gmAN3L4jVKb%2Fuploads%2FTWVhLgPjDdub04qUEJqa%2Fimage.png?alt=media&amp;token=69e8c75e-85cc-4367-9737-da5610fc83b1" alt=""><figcaption></figcaption></figure>

### Effect on Price Action

Clarifications often determine whether a market resolves immediately or remains open. This can cause the price to spike to 100¢ or drop sharply after the clarification.

*Example*: In *Will Trump talk to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in October?*, Polymarket clarified that talks between the two before the market was created would not count toward resolution. The price fell from 93¢ to 54¢ following the clarification.

<figure><img src="https://3511841878-files.gitbook.io/~/files/v0/b/gitbook-x-prod.appspot.com/o/spaces%2FwmHFi7NV8gmAN3L4jVKb%2Fuploads%2FXd3B8SFmWX5jg7O5FGhj%2Fimage.png?alt=media&amp;token=572e73a6-8f4f-4ce4-8da9-98d013d68abb" alt=""><figcaption></figcaption></figure>

### Effect on Resolution

Clarifications can directly determine how and whether a market resolves. They often confirm whether an event met the resolution criteria.

*Example*: In *Will Powell say "inflation" 50+ times during September's press conference?*, traders counted 49 mentions but disagreed about one timestamp. Polymarket clarified that Powell did say "inflation" during that moment, and the market resolved to Yes.

<figure><img src="https://3511841878-files.gitbook.io/~/files/v0/b/gitbook-x-prod.appspot.com/o/spaces%2FwmHFi7NV8gmAN3L4jVKb%2Fuploads%2F8iFmJFjJlqbYO23LgFO2%2Fimage.png?alt=media&amp;token=f6106a73-7a03-46f4-932a-dc957a832738" alt=""><figcaption></figcaption></figure>

### Anticipation and Market Behavior

Anticipation of a clarification can affect both market volatility and trader behavior.

#### Volatility <a href="#volatility" id="volatility"></a>

When traders expect a clarification, markets can become volatile. Because a clarification can instantly resolve a market, even small hints or pre-announcements can trigger large price swings.

*Example*: In *Will Ghislaine Maxwell testify before Congress in 2025?*, the price ranged between 35¢ and 50¢ as traders anticipated a clarification.

<figure><img src="https://3511841878-files.gitbook.io/~/files/v0/b/gitbook-x-prod.appspot.com/o/spaces%2FwmHFi7NV8gmAN3L4jVKb%2Fuploads%2FcEpgjQGBf9w7fDps9VR1%2Fimage.png?alt=media&amp;token=653ab5cf-0871-4206-b161-cc0fd79fd3c8" alt=""><figcaption></figcaption></figure>

#### Strategic Manipulation

Some users may try to profit from this volatility. For example, a group of traders may buy shares at 1¢, push for a clarification, and sell at 5¢ if uncertainty drives the price higher.

Others may try to create doubt about the likely outcome to drive down prices and buy winning shares at a discount.

*Example*: A trader stirring concern among others to drive down prices and buy winning shares at a discount.

<figure><img src="https://3511841878-files.gitbook.io/~/files/v0/b/gitbook-x-prod.appspot.com/o/spaces%2FwmHFi7NV8gmAN3L4jVKb%2Fuploads%2Fgit-blob-f08cb748b5e5f094a2a0c12871a9009745af8575%2Feffects-strategic-manipulation.png?alt=media" alt=""><figcaption></figcaption></figure>
