# The Wizard Chronicles

{% embed url="<https://polymarket.com/event/nascar-autotrader-echopark-automotive-400-winner>" %}

### Market Background and Criteria <a href="#market-background-and-criteria" id="market-background-and-criteria"></a>

On July 15, 2025, Polymarket launched a prediction market titled *NASCAR Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 400 Winner?* The structure was simple: a single market with dozens of nested outcomes, each corresponding to a possible race winner. At its peak, the market had generated over $10,000 in trading volume, though trading was thinly spread across the full list of contestants. Many outcomes saw little or no activity.

<figure><img src="https://2293932773-files.gitbook.io/~/files/v0/b/gitbook-x-prod.appspot.com/o/spaces%2FRo4CxwI5b8WUYUwYnbDu%2Fuploads%2FVaxJY0bxJqKyQ7TsZ2u7%2Fimage.png?alt=media&#x26;token=3c4cce49-2d1c-4944-bf57-33ba912352b0" alt=""><figcaption></figcaption></figure>

<figure><img src="https://2293932773-files.gitbook.io/~/files/v0/b/gitbook-x-prod.appspot.com/o/spaces%2FRo4CxwI5b8WUYUwYnbDu%2Fuploads%2FgJpBGtpz7sUE8A5saZtg%2Fimage.png?alt=media&#x26;token=84c78175-6795-4cf9-b99d-ff775f67c684" alt=""><figcaption></figcaption></figure>

For the market to resolve, the listed driver needed to be officially named the winner by NASCAR. The rules specified that the primary resolution source would be information from NASCAR ([nascar.com](https://www.nascar.com)).

<figure><img src="https://2293932773-files.gitbook.io/~/files/v0/b/gitbook-x-prod.appspot.com/o/spaces%2FRo4CxwI5b8WUYUwYnbDu%2Fuploads%2FcFoukcnpBR4t3u69IlsS%2Fimage.png?alt=media&#x26;token=204bb5bf-6a70-48c7-9a26-9ead7b0e8979" alt=""><figcaption></figcaption></figure>

On July 20, the event took place at Dover Motor Speedway. NASCAR [posted the unofficial results](https://www.nascar.com/live-results/nascar-cup-series/autotrader-echopark-automotive-400/), declaring Denny Hamlin the winner after a dramatic double-overtime finish. The result was also [shared on X](https://x.com/NASCAR/status/1947068868075135365), where NASCAR announced Hamlin's victory.

<figure><img src="https://2293932773-files.gitbook.io/~/files/v0/b/gitbook-x-prod.appspot.com/o/spaces%2FRo4CxwI5b8WUYUwYnbDu%2Fuploads%2Fj3hOGpfFm5NsG9xe6NfE%2Fimage.png?alt=media&#x26;token=16700512-26bb-4254-be84-dfbecba8c78b" alt=""><figcaption></figcaption></figure>

Within seconds, proposals began flooding in, and within 10 minutes all 43 markets were proposed. Wizard submitted 38 proposals, risking a total of $28,500, while Lonfus submitted 5 proposals, risking $3,750. In total, the two proposers put up $32,250 in an attempt to earn just $215 in rewards, with each $750 proposal offering a $5 reward.

<figure><img src="https://2293932773-files.gitbook.io/~/files/v0/b/gitbook-x-prod.appspot.com/o/spaces%2FRo4CxwI5b8WUYUwYnbDu%2Fuploads%2FMYu1R1CsypfZZ8UO93t8%2Fimage.png?alt=media&#x26;token=44028cdd-8651-4726-bb58-35f961aae4de" alt=""><figcaption></figcaption></figure>

However, their hope for easy money was short-lived as a UMA verifier sent out a dispute alert.

<figure><img src="https://2293932773-files.gitbook.io/~/files/v0/b/gitbook-x-prod.appspot.com/o/spaces%2FRo4CxwI5b8WUYUwYnbDu%2Fuploads%2FEfvotIfeC4IAqwOFzLPB%2Fimage.png?alt=media&#x26;token=5d5d1a0a-8806-4e6a-b2a3-8ca3c6f1c13e" alt=""><figcaption></figcaption></figure>

As quickly as they were proposed, all 43 markets were disputed.

<figure><img src="https://2293932773-files.gitbook.io/~/files/v0/b/gitbook-x-prod.appspot.com/o/spaces%2FRo4CxwI5b8WUYUwYnbDu%2Fuploads%2Fuj8Xc2QNwmCnKEL10Dju%2Fimage.png?alt=media&#x26;token=db4cb063-0e06-41f5-90a0-257c6c981ea1" alt=""><figcaption></figcaption></figure>

Evidence threads were created for each dispute, resulting in 43 separate threads.

<figure><img src="https://2293932773-files.gitbook.io/~/files/v0/b/gitbook-x-prod.appspot.com/o/spaces%2FRo4CxwI5b8WUYUwYnbDu%2Fuploads%2F2upBmyvxeRjkyG2BqNaU%2Fimage.png?alt=media&#x26;token=1d7fb081-cba9-4881-8215-efea346939b2" alt=""><figcaption></figcaption></figure>

As it became clear that UMA was siding with P4 (Too Early), Wizard called for support from across Polymarket and UMA, thereby beginning the Wizard Chronicles.

<figure><img src="https://2293932773-files.gitbook.io/~/files/v0/b/gitbook-x-prod.appspot.com/o/spaces%2FRo4CxwI5b8WUYUwYnbDu%2Fuploads%2F2Rd8yLWgpF4ipMd1lsMl%2Fimage.png?alt=media&#x26;token=cba1c77f-0edb-4028-a2ae-7786818197fc" alt=""><figcaption></figcaption></figure>

#### Coming Up

With the setup complete, we now turn to one of the largest proposal disputes in UMA history.
