# Accusations from the "Yes" Side

The "Yes" side raised several accusations, falling into three main categories: Polymarket deception, slashing penalties discouraging honest voting, and Hart Lambur’s P3 comment tied to broader controversies involving Polymarket and UMA.

We’ll examine each of these accusations in detail below.

### Polymarket Deception

[Defipolice](https://x.com/defipolice_/status/1940789976712859975) accuses [PolymarketIntel](https://x.com/PolymarketIntel/status/1937779082818953534), a Polymarket affiliate account, of baiting and scamming new users.&#x20;

<figure><img src="https://2293932773-files.gitbook.io/~/files/v0/b/gitbook-x-prod.appspot.com/o/spaces%2FRo4CxwI5b8WUYUwYnbDu%2Fuploads%2Fssmvo4Y90PlyyP7zOroW%2Fimage.png?alt=media&#x26;token=47bb13d2-3c77-4d91-988e-71cf4d5824e9" alt=""><figcaption></figcaption></figure>

For context, this [Dune dashboard](https://dune.com/martim13/market-better-view) shows a spike in volume following June 24.

<figure><img src="https://2293932773-files.gitbook.io/~/files/v0/b/gitbook-x-prod.appspot.com/o/spaces%2FRo4CxwI5b8WUYUwYnbDu%2Fuploads%2FKxSzsqvVrrNIBG5dd5Sq%2Fimage.png?alt=media&#x26;token=f5b9d38b-25e6-4ce0-8a5f-2b0b66031ebc" alt=""><figcaption></figcaption></figure>

On July 1, [PolymarketIntel](https://x.com/PolymarketIntel) changed their bio, a move that drew further criticism.

<figure><img src="https://2293932773-files.gitbook.io/~/files/v0/b/gitbook-x-prod.appspot.com/o/spaces%2FRo4CxwI5b8WUYUwYnbDu%2Fuploads%2FSMDGmL10SqwWU3jz8PPg%2Fimage.png?alt=media&#x26;token=02c41bc9-ea74-4a42-9157-5377d8b89bf9" alt=""><figcaption><p><a href="https://docs.google.com/document/d/1p0CSpse6YwLApvwKt173bDg1cQVNcNEe0_2sNCvhaZs/">Source</a></p></figcaption></figure>

### Genuine Voting is Punished

UMA’s voting mechanism penalizes incorrect votes that fall outside the final consensus by slashing 0.1% of the voter’s stake. As a result, participants are incentivized to vote not necessarily based on what they believe is correct, but on what they think the consensus will be.

This dynamic can become problematic if voters believe that large token holders (whales) control the outcome. In such cases, participants may feel pressured to align with the perceived preferences of those whales, even if it goes against their own judgment.&#x20;

Below are some comments highlighting concerns about the slashing mechanism and its impact on honest voting.

<figure><img src="https://2293932773-files.gitbook.io/~/files/v0/b/gitbook-x-prod.appspot.com/o/spaces%2FRo4CxwI5b8WUYUwYnbDu%2Fuploads%2FZahxVxYavyQFVPO2Xs2B%2Fimage.png?alt=media&#x26;token=52d6eb64-1615-4fcc-913d-5bea44ad8a6b" alt=""><figcaption></figcaption></figure>

<figure><img src="https://2293932773-files.gitbook.io/~/files/v0/b/gitbook-x-prod.appspot.com/o/spaces%2FRo4CxwI5b8WUYUwYnbDu%2Fuploads%2FiuNp2qR9R1k64nzlSw9E%2Fimage.png?alt=media&#x26;token=d06d941d-9c84-476d-8481-48c9ca20d8cc" alt=""><figcaption></figcaption></figure>

<figure><img src="https://2293932773-files.gitbook.io/~/files/v0/b/gitbook-x-prod.appspot.com/o/spaces%2FRo4CxwI5b8WUYUwYnbDu%2Fuploads%2F9Ul8yxvh9uXUYw3OBOb8%2Fimage.png?alt=media&#x26;token=95b4ca46-35f2-43e2-ae09-0b3044e1b4ee" alt=""><figcaption></figcaption></figure>

Some people advocated for honest voting, regardless of the risk of being slashed.

<figure><img src="https://2293932773-files.gitbook.io/~/files/v0/b/gitbook-x-prod.appspot.com/o/spaces%2FRo4CxwI5b8WUYUwYnbDu%2Fuploads%2FxnyTwURNLtz1xVm6RSNR%2Fimage.png?alt=media&#x26;token=1ce032a5-f5e9-45d0-82a6-c36b53786a32" alt=""><figcaption></figcaption></figure>

Others supported following Polymarket clarifications.&#x20;

<figure><img src="https://2293932773-files.gitbook.io/~/files/v0/b/gitbook-x-prod.appspot.com/o/spaces%2FRo4CxwI5b8WUYUwYnbDu%2Fuploads%2FENoBYPomuhh8fgnVFw34%2Fimage.png?alt=media&#x26;token=07e5cab4-a166-49c2-826a-e0a6d56f6072" alt=""><figcaption></figcaption></figure>

### Hart Lambur's P3 Comment

During the Berlin dispute, Hart Lambur explicitly stated that there was no precedent for P3. This message was later referenced during the NATO dispute as well.

<figure><img src="https://2293932773-files.gitbook.io/~/files/v0/b/gitbook-x-prod.appspot.com/o/spaces%2FRo4CxwI5b8WUYUwYnbDu%2Fuploads%2FxFLsYkviBjR8Z6EQ04jg%2Fhttps___files.gitbook.com_v0_b_gitbook-x-prod.appspot.com_o_spaces_2FRo4CxwI5b8WUYUwYnbDu_2Fuploads_2Fyp1sS5thliWk1JhopF6E_2FPasted_20image_2020250704123612.avif?alt=media&#x26;token=fc174d03-2fbe-4f19-bb73-ba0504091003" alt=""><figcaption></figcaption></figure>

<figure><img src="https://2293932773-files.gitbook.io/~/files/v0/b/gitbook-x-prod.appspot.com/o/spaces%2FRo4CxwI5b8WUYUwYnbDu%2Fuploads%2FiE0HAzfdBIpYXVSBBAqE%2Fimage.png?alt=media&#x26;token=55beb455-d777-4881-a2fe-18a2b6d9bdd0" alt=""><figcaption></figcaption></figure>

However, Hart Lambur’s comment was heavily criticized, with some arguing that he shouldn’t influence the discussion or attempt to sway votes, but instead allow the community to decide independently.

<figure><img src="https://2293932773-files.gitbook.io/~/files/v0/b/gitbook-x-prod.appspot.com/o/spaces%2FRo4CxwI5b8WUYUwYnbDu%2Fuploads%2FbCN3sFILm7dd73a2AXU0%2Fimage.png?alt=media&#x26;token=9d4592c5-1ca4-4371-9fda-59e9632d5509" alt=""><figcaption><p><a href="https://x.com/defipolice_/status/1940677982559125678">defipolice X post</a></p></figcaption></figure>

On July 2, [Calvin Hamilton](https://x.com/rezy_io) mentioned that he had a call with Hart Lambur. He shared some key points from their conversation below:

<figure><img src="https://2293932773-files.gitbook.io/~/files/v0/b/gitbook-x-prod.appspot.com/o/spaces%2FRo4CxwI5b8WUYUwYnbDu%2Fuploads%2FfDXmV1Vq4KxPEExSpTsv%2Fimage.png?alt=media&#x26;token=4b9a6335-a73a-4d1a-8f6f-ce0dbc17ca37" alt=""><figcaption></figcaption></figure>

### Polymarket Controversies&#x20;

Many people claimed that Polymarket’s loose rules align with UMA’s lack of transparency in decision-making.

<figure><img src="https://2293932773-files.gitbook.io/~/files/v0/b/gitbook-x-prod.appspot.com/o/spaces%2FRo4CxwI5b8WUYUwYnbDu%2Fuploads%2FxjMWVeoGaROOvUwBo3FY%2Fimage.png?alt=media&#x26;token=b8974b5b-d82d-464f-806b-fece24898d8a" alt=""><figcaption><p><a href="https://x.com/JFSaine/status/1941816013906952234">JFSaine's X post</a></p></figcaption></figure>

[Matan](https://x.com/matan_si/status/1941509060781617386) also questions whether the vagueness of Polymarket’s rules and the reliance on UMA to make final decisions is a bug or a feature.

<figure><img src="https://2293932773-files.gitbook.io/~/files/v0/b/gitbook-x-prod.appspot.com/o/spaces%2FRo4CxwI5b8WUYUwYnbDu%2Fuploads%2FmoHteCYjpsGLrompycOG%2Fimage.png?alt=media&#x26;token=825ebc8b-3c5d-4c4a-b380-c0c4576eff33" alt=""><figcaption></figcaption></figure>

Some also pointed to [Polymarket’s history of problematic markets](https://web.archive.org/web/20250120144332/https://polymarketfraud.com/) as a broader pattern of concern.

<figure><img src="https://2293932773-files.gitbook.io/~/files/v0/b/gitbook-x-prod.appspot.com/o/spaces%2FRo4CxwI5b8WUYUwYnbDu%2Fuploads%2FAfiOmq2Bwv2xb9m6RorZ%2Fimage.png?alt=media&#x26;token=7f33834f-e451-4a3d-80b0-37f0534a96c0" alt=""><figcaption><p>Archived preview of PolymarketFraud.com, a now-removed website documenting alleged fraudulent markets.</p></figcaption></figure>

Adversary published a [case study](https://docs.google.com/document/d/1aZcwb-CTnvsSwAUBp9BLQVtPrdrFZrdYxeUQct2lq2U/) for investigating the potential corruption involving Polymarket and UMA.&#x20;

<figure><img src="https://2293932773-files.gitbook.io/~/files/v0/b/gitbook-x-prod.appspot.com/o/spaces%2FRo4CxwI5b8WUYUwYnbDu%2Fuploads%2FmCughcnt1jls1xC3UXaR%2Fimage.png?alt=media&#x26;token=1210ac14-17f6-4eab-94dd-dec6f25e1345" alt=""><figcaption></figcaption></figure>

In the case study, he examines why the Zelenskyy suit market should have resolved to "Yes," the impact of the Polymarket clarification, and the legal implications including fraud claims and consumer protection concerns.

<figure><img src="https://2293932773-files.gitbook.io/~/files/v0/b/gitbook-x-prod.appspot.com/o/spaces%2FRo4CxwI5b8WUYUwYnbDu%2Fuploads%2Fm24a9fkm2sJcmRxbN00D%2Fimage.png?alt=media&#x26;token=c6975f58-cabf-4e4b-abb4-976fc91378c9" alt=""><figcaption><p>Adversary's case study preview</p></figcaption></figure>

#### Coming Up

In this chapter, we covered several accusations raised by the "Yes" side. In the next chapter, we’ll examine the accusations brought forward by the "No" side.
